What’s Behind Biden’s Declining Approval Rating

Last week, President Biden’s agenda took a big step forward with the US Senate’s multiparty vote to pass a $1.1 trillion infrastructure package. This first step towards a deal – the House of Representatives still needs to take it – couldn’t have come at a better time for Biden, as the delta version of the coronavirus has increased trade in recent months, putting much of his economic growth at risk. There is also the collapse of the Afghan government and Biden must fight to control the withdrawal of the American military presence in the country

It’s too early to know how Biden’s stance on Afghanistan will affect his ratings, but for most of his presidency, endorsement of the fight against the 1960s pandemic has already taken a hit. According to the FiveThirtyEight follow-up of the coronavirus chief, only 55 percent of Americans now approve of what they do.

This decline in the way Americans deal with Biden’s pandemic appears to be linked to the recent drop in FiveThirtyEight’s overall approval rating, which has been in the bottom eight for months, with at least 50 percent in presidential membership.

What can Biden do to bring down his endorsement?

The first thing to keep in mind is that the recent shift in Biden’s approval is still relatively small, as the average approval rating dropped from about 52 percent to 50 percent in July. Given our current hyperpolarized political environment, this is not uncommon; The president’s views are now mostly fabricated, such that the president’s grade tends to fall within a narrow range of results.

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We don’t know how long Biden’s deal will expire, but if the two previous presidents have any indication, that would be a narrow idea: Donald Trump’s approval rating during his presidency has ranged from 40 to 45 percent, and Barack Obama’s approval rating has ranged from 45 to 50 percent. between. In that regard, Biden’s current approval rating is perfectly normal.

Given the role the delta option played in lowering Biden’s total, this current drop may be temporary. Biden’s endorsement of his fight against the coronavirus has seen its biggest drop in recent weeks, but its numbers have also dwindled slightly on several other issues. To be clear, there is a better survey of COVID-19 than other topics like crime and immigration.

But among Republicans and independents, his approval has been hit particularly hard in recent weeks, as it’s one of his most serious issues. Since mid-July, the number of coronavirus confirmations among independents has dropped from 1950s lows to 1950s lows, and the number among Republicans has dropped from just under 30 to 1920s lows. (Democrats’ response to Biden’s fight against the coronavirus has shed a hair from the ’90s lows’ to the ’80s.)

What’s Behind Biden’s Declining Approval Rating:

However, there is some reason to think that this change to Biden’s overall approval rating may not be a change.

The biggest reason may be independent people’s desire for Biden – and it’s not clear that it’s the fight against the coronavirus that’s controlling him. Biden’s ratings among independents have plummeted in recent weeks – a survey conducted since early July by Morning Consult, The Economist/YouGov and Ipsos shows that Biden’s deal with the group has dropped an average of 2-4 percent in recent weeks.

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But Biden was slowly losing ground among independent people. For example, Biden’s approval among independent voters in the Morning Consult poll dropped from his sub-50s to his 40s after he took office. This is a very slow decline in the last eight months, but it is also a trend before the rise of the American delta option.

It is possible that economic concerns also played a role in Biden’s decline. Recent polls show that Americans are particularly worried about rising inflation in recent months. In fact, nearly a third of registered voters cited inflation as their top economic concern in a poll by The Hill/HarrisX in early August, with 86 percent of Americans telling CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies in late July. For example, at least one move to combat price increases to reduce costs or save less. Biden’s latest economic management poll, including last week’s Fox News poll, fell slightly.

It is now true that these economic concerns are at least partially related to the economic uncertainty created by the coronavirus, but there are also some signs that Americans are indifferent to large public spending.

Stay tuned to ReportingHour for more updates

News source@ FiveThirtyEight

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